Bernie Sanders, Donald Trump win in New Hampshire primaries
On Tuesday, February 9th, 2016, Democrat Bernie Sanders and Republican Donald Trump won the New Hampshire primaries. With these two wins it is apparent that more than just a political tide is overcoming America, but a populist tide. Using populism, both Sanders and Trump have tapped into the economic and political frustration of the middle class, projecting them to top and forcing “establishment” candidates to either adapt or drop out. Sanders and Trump may be ideologically different, but their methods as politicians are similar.
On the Democratic side Bernie Sanders won over Hillary Clinton 60% to 38.3%, capturing 13 delegates to Clinton’s 9. This win might come as a shocking blow to the Clinton campaign, which in 2008, relied on New Hampshire to prop her up after her loss to Barack Obama in the Iowa caucus. While Clinton didn’t lose Iowa this time, she did not win with a compelling lead over Sanders like she thought she might. Clinton only won by .3%, with the final vote being called at 49.9% to 49.6% with Clinton and Sanders are gaining 23 and 21 delegates respectively. Just like in 2008, a more liberal candidate is challenging Clinton’s front-runner status.
But the real question is, like in 2008, will she not only lose the frontrunner status, but the Democratic primary in its entirety? Sanders also won against Clinton in most all demographic groups in the New Hampshire primary. He carried majorities of both men and women, those with and without college degrees, gun owners and non-gun owners, and he beat Clinton among previous primary voters and those participating for the first time. He also ran polled ahead in votes with both self-described “moderates” and “liberals.”
Even so, there were a few wins for Clinton. While Sanders won among age groups younger than 45, the two candidates polled evenly among voters aged 45 to 64. And Clinton won the support of voters 65 and older. And, though Clinton lost nearly every income group, she did carry voters in families earning over $200,000 per year.
On the Republican side Donald Trump leads with 35.3% of the vote, with John Kasich coming in second with 15.8%, Cruz in third with 11.6%, and Bush in fourth with 11.1%. All other candidates did not capture enough votes to win delegates. This means the delegates for the top candidates are 10, 3, 2, and 2, respectively. Donald Trump emerging as the clear winner for the Republicans after winning all demographics on the GOP side.